Ud Carral vs SD San Lorenzo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
82.6%
Win probability
3.04
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1.1%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.4%
6-0
2.5%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.4%
5-0
4.9%
6-1
1.9%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.1%
4-0
8%
5-1
3.7%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
12.5%
3-0
10.6%
4-1
6%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.2%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.3%
11.2%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
5.2%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
11.2%
6.2%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
1.7%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
4.5%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+43%
+251%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ud Carral
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 2025 |
MUX
0 - 0
UDC
16%
19%
65%
|
27 | 16 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2025 |
UDC
3 - 0
VIS
88%
8%
4%
|
27 | 9 | 18 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2025 |
UDC
5 - 0
BAS
80%
13%
8%
|
26 | 16 | 10 | +1 |
| 06 Apr. 2025 |
FIS
3 - 2
UDC
23%
21%
56%
|
27 | 18 | 9 | -1 |
| 30 Mar. 2025 |
UDC
4 - 2
VEA
80%
13%
8%
|
27 | 16 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
SD San Lorenzo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 2025 |
SLV
2 - 2
PRA
24%
22%
54%
|
14 | 20 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2025 |
VEA
2 - 2
SLV
50%
21%
28%
|
14 | 15 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2025 |
DUM
3 - 2
SLV
81%
12%
7%
|
14 | 26 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2025 |
SLV
2 - 1
BER
29%
22%
49%
|
13 | 17 | 4 | +1 |
| 30 Mar. 2025 |
CAS
4 - 1
SLV
73%
16%
11%
|
14 | 20 | 6 | -1 |