Carcer vs Navarres analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
72.1%
Win probability
2.75
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.6%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
3.1%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
9.1%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
5.6%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
15%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
3.1%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.5%
15.4%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
15.4%
12.5%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
8.1%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Carcer
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2016 |
BEN
2 - 1
CAR
33%
22%
45%
|
17 | 14 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2016 |
CAR
1 - 0
OLI
58%
20%
23%
|
16 | 15 | 1 | +1 |
| 14 May. 2016 |
XAT
3 - 1
CAR
12%
17%
71%
|
18 | 9 | 9 | -2 |
| 07 May. 2016 |
CAR
5 - 1
CAN
86%
10%
5%
|
18 | 10 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2016 |
GEN
3 - 2
CAR
37%
23%
40%
|
18 | 16 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Navarres
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2016 |
NAV
0 - 2
ANN
84%
10%
6%
|
14 | 9 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2016 |
NAV
2 - 2
RAF
34%
21%
45%
|
14 | 17 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2016 |
LAL
3 - 2
NAV
39%
22%
39%
|
14 | 13 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2016 |
NAV
1 - 0
OLI
49%
21%
31%
|
14 | 16 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2016 |
XAT
2 - 2
NAV
17%
19%
65%
|
14 | 7 | 7 | 0 |