Carcer vs Genoves analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
76.2%
Win probability
2.8
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.3%
5-0
3.4%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.3%
4-0
6.2%
5-1
3.2%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10.1%
3-0
8.8%
4-1
5.7%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.2%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.7%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.2%
14.1%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
6.2%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
14.1%
9.7%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
6.7%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Carcer
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2017 |
MON
1 - 1
CAR
49%
21%
30%
|
15 | 15 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2017 |
XAT
0 - 1
CAR
14%
18%
69%
|
15 | 7 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2017 |
CAR
1 - 1
ANN
57%
20%
23%
|
15 | 14 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2017 |
FDF
2 - 2
CAR
11%
16%
73%
|
16 | 7 | 9 | -1 |
| 12 Feb. 2017 |
CAR
2 - 0
RAF
86%
10%
5%
|
16 | 7 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Genoves
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2017 |
GEN
2 - 3
ANN
26%
21%
54%
|
11 | 15 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2017 |
FDF
1 - 1
GEN
27%
22%
51%
|
11 | 7 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2017 |
GEN
6 - 4
RAF
66%
17%
17%
|
11 | 7 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2017 |
EMF
0 - 1
GEN
72%
16%
12%
|
10 | 14 | 4 | +1 |
| 11 Feb. 2017 |
GEN
1 - 2
CAR
16%
18%
66%
|
10 | 16 | 6 | 0 |