Carcer vs Genoves analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.6%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.2%
2-0
7%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.2%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.8%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.3%
25.1%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.4%
0-2
3%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Carcer
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Dec. 2015 |
ALB
0 - 2
CAR
61%
20%
19%
|
16 | 18 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2015 |
FEN
0 - 4
CAR
16%
19%
65%
|
15 | 7 | 8 | +1 |
| 29 Nov. 2015 |
CAR
1 - 3
NAV
55%
21%
24%
|
16 | 15 | 1 | -1 |
| 22 Nov. 2015 |
ANN
2 - 1
CAR
15%
19%
66%
|
18 | 10 | 8 | -2 |
| 15 Nov. 2015 |
CAR
0 - 0
ENG
69%
17%
14%
|
18 | 14 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Genoves
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Dec. 2015 |
GEN
5 - 0
FEN
82%
12%
7%
|
16 | 7 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2015 |
NAV
1 - 3
GEN
64%
18%
18%
|
15 | 16 | 1 | +1 |
| 28 Nov. 2015 |
GEN
5 - 1
ANN
66%
18%
16%
|
14 | 11 | 3 | +1 |
| 21 Nov. 2015 |
ENG
2 - 0
GEN
44%
23%
33%
|
15 | 14 | 1 | -1 |
| 14 Nov. 2015 |
GEN
2 - 1
AYO
44%
23%
33%
|
14 | 15 | 1 | +1 |