Carcer vs Fenollet analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
87.6%
Win probability
3.39
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.8%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
1%
7-0
1.8%
8-1
0.5%
9-2
0.1%
+7
2.3%
6-0
3.7%
7-1
1.2%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
5%
5-0
6.5%
6-1
2.4%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
9.4%
4-0
9.7%
5-1
4.3%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
14.8%
3-0
11.4%
4-1
6.3%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
19.3%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.9%
1-0
6%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.5%
8.4%
Draw
0-0
1.8%
1-1
3.9%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
8.4%
3.9%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
1.1%
1-2
1.3%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
3%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
0.7%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Carcer
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2016 |
NAV
3 - 4
CAR
47%
21%
32%
|
17 | 15 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
CAR
5 - 2
ANN
68%
17%
15%
|
17 | 14 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2016 |
ENG
1 - 1
CAR
62%
19%
19%
|
17 | 19 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
CAR
3 - 0
AYO
43%
22%
36%
|
16 | 17 | 1 | +1 |
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
CAN
2 - 1
CAR
18%
20%
62%
|
16 | 11 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Fenollet
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
FEN
1 - 3
ALB
12%
17%
71%
|
7 | 16 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2016 |
FEN
1 - 4
NAV
15%
18%
67%
|
7 | 15 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2016 |
ANN
3 - 0
FEN
76%
14%
10%
|
7 | 13 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
FEN
0 - 6
ENG
8%
15%
77%
|
7 | 19 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
AYO
5 - 0
FEN
85%
10%
5%
|
7 | 16 | 9 | 0 |