Carcer vs Vallada analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.6%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.8%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.7%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
22.3%
35.1%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
17.8%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
10.4%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.6%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Carcer
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 2015 |
RAF
2 - 2
CAR
58%
20%
22%
|
15 | 17 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
CAR
2 - 0
LAL
71%
16%
13%
|
14 | 11 | 3 | +1 |
| 10 May. 2015 |
CAR
2 - 3
ALG
69%
17%
14%
|
15 | 12 | 3 | -1 |
| 03 May. 2015 |
ALG
1 - 7
CAR
25%
23%
53%
|
14 | 10 | 4 | +1 |
| 26 Apr. 2015 |
CAR
4 - 1
SOL
78%
14%
9%
|
13 | 7 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Vallada
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2015 |
VAL
2 - 1
FEN
86%
10%
5%
|
17 | 7 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2015 |
NAV
3 - 1
VAL
31%
22%
47%
|
18 | 14 | 4 | -1 |
| 10 May. 2015 |
VAL
2 - 1
BOC
69%
17%
14%
|
17 | 13 | 4 | +1 |
| 03 May. 2015 |
BEN
1 - 4
VAL
16%
20%
65%
|
17 | 10 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2015 |
VAL
4 - 1
CAN
83%
11%
6%
|
17 | 9 | 8 | 0 |