Carcer vs Ayorense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.6%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
3%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
12.7%
1-0
5%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.3%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
2.6%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.7%
35.7%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
17.6%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
10.5%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Carcer
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
CAN
2 - 1
CAR
18%
20%
62%
|
16 | 11 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
CAR
6 - 0
HIG
83%
11%
6%
|
16 | 9 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
CAS
0 - 1
CAR
25%
21%
54%
|
16 | 11 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
CAR
2 - 1
ALB
82%
12%
7%
|
16 | 9 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
VAL
2 - 3
CAR
43%
22%
35%
|
16 | 14 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Ayorense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
AYO
5 - 0
FEN
85%
10%
5%
|
16 | 7 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2016 |
NAV
1 - 1
AYO
47%
21%
32%
|
17 | 16 | 1 | -1 |
| 27 Feb. 2016 |
AYO
3 - 2
ANN
59%
20%
21%
|
16 | 15 | 1 | +1 |
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
ENG
9 - 1
AYO
49%
22%
30%
|
18 | 18 | 0 | -2 |
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
AYO
4 - 1
ALB
44%
22%
34%
|
17 | 18 | 1 | +1 |