Carcer vs La Ribera analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65.2%
Win probability
2.39
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.1%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3%
4-0
4%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.7%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.7%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.1%
1-0
7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22%
18.3%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
8%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
18.3%
16.5%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10.4%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Carcer
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 2015 |
ALM
0 - 3
CAR
42%
23%
35%
|
11 | 10 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2015 |
ALG
0 - 1
CAR
62%
20%
18%
|
11 | 13 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2014 |
CAR
2 - 0
ALG
44%
22%
34%
|
9 | 10 | 1 | +2 |
| 14 Dec. 2014 |
SOL
1 - 1
CAR
38%
23%
39%
|
10 | 7 | 3 | -1 |
| 07 Dec. 2014 |
CAR
2 - 5
EMF
27%
23%
50%
|
10 | 15 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
La Ribera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 2015 |
CAS
1 - 4
CAR
16%
20%
65%
|
10 | 18 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2015 |
CAS
0 - 1
GUA
23%
21%
56%
|
11 | 15 | 4 | -1 |
| 21 Dec. 2014 |
SUE
1 - 1
CAS
45%
23%
32%
|
11 | 11 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2014 |
CAS
2 - 1
LAL
40%
23%
37%
|
10 | 11 | 1 | +1 |
| 07 Dec. 2014 |
RAF
4 - 0
CAS
72%
16%
12%
|
11 | 16 | 5 | -1 |