Carcer vs A. Promeses A analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.1%
Win probability
2.26
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.2%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16.7%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.2%
20%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
20%
23.9%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
13.5%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Carcer
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2016 |
CAR
5 - 0
FEN
88%
8%
4%
|
18 | 7 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2016 |
NAV
3 - 4
CAR
47%
21%
32%
|
17 | 15 | 2 | +1 |
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
CAR
5 - 2
ANN
68%
17%
15%
|
17 | 14 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2016 |
ENG
1 - 1
CAR
62%
19%
19%
|
17 | 19 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
CAR
3 - 0
AYO
43%
22%
36%
|
16 | 17 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
A. Promeses A
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 2016 |
ALB
9 - 0
ALB
83%
11%
6%
|
17 | 7 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
FEN
1 - 3
ALB
12%
17%
71%
|
16 | 7 | 9 | +1 |
| 02 Apr. 2016 |
ALB
2 - 1
VAL
73%
16%
11%
|
16 | 12 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2016 |
NAV
3 - 3
ALB
49%
21%
30%
|
16 | 15 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2016 |
ALB
1 - 3
RAF
55%
21%
25%
|
17 | 16 | 1 | -1 |