Carcer vs Rafelguaraf analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.3%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.9%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.9%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.6%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.3%
28.3%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.8%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Carcer
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2018 |
GEN
2 - 0
CAR
65%
19%
16%
|
7 | 11 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2018 |
CAR
0 - 4
UDC
19%
18%
64%
|
9 | 13 | 4 | -2 |
| 04 Mar. 2018 |
CAR
1 - 3
ANN
10%
18%
72%
|
9 | 18 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2018 |
FDF
1 - 1
CAR
39%
22%
39%
|
9 | 7 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2018 |
CAR
2 - 3
CAR
60%
20%
20%
|
10 | 7 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Rafelguaraf
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2018 |
RAF
0 - 4
ANN
10%
17%
74%
|
7 | 18 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2018 |
FDF
2 - 0
RAF
49%
21%
30%
|
7 | 8 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2018 |
RAF
1 - 4
CAR
47%
22%
31%
|
7 | 9 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2018 |
ALB
3 - 0
RAF
93%
6%
2%
|
7 | 20 | 13 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2018 |
RAF
0 - 5
CIU
9%
14%
77%
|
7 | 18 | 11 | 0 |