Carcer vs Rafelguaraf analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
35.6%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.7%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.5%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
18%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.5%
41.9%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
4.2%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
19.7%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
12.6%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
6.2%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Carcer
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jan. 2016 |
LAL
2 - 2
CAR
22%
21%
57%
|
16 | 10 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2016 |
OLI
1 - 2
CAR
34%
23%
44%
|
15 | 12 | 3 | +1 |
| 17 Jan. 2016 |
CAR
5 - 0
XAT
76%
14%
10%
|
14 | 9 | 5 | +1 |
| 10 Jan. 2016 |
CAN
4 - 1
CAR
14%
19%
67%
|
17 | 9 | 8 | -3 |
| 20 Dec. 2015 |
CAR
3 - 3
GEN
54%
21%
25%
|
17 | 16 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Rafelguaraf
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 2016 |
RAF
4 - 2
FEN
89%
8%
3%
|
18 | 7 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2016 |
RAF
3 - 2
NAV
66%
18%
17%
|
18 | 15 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2016 |
ANN
2 - 2
RAF
31%
22%
47%
|
18 | 14 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2016 |
RAF
2 - 0
ENG
55%
21%
24%
|
17 | 17 | 0 | +1 |
| 19 Dec. 2015 |
AYO
1 - 0
RAF
37%
23%
40%
|
18 | 16 | 2 | -1 |