Carcer vs Carlet analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
22%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.1%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
6%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
13.2%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.9%
57%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
4.2%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.4%
0-2
7.9%
1-3
6.8%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
17.2%
0-3
5.5%
1-4
3.5%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
10.1%
0-4
2.9%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
4.7%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Carcer
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 2015 |
GUA
2 - 3
CAR
65%
19%
17%
|
12 | 15 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2015 |
LAL
4 - 3
CAR
38%
24%
38%
|
13 | 11 | 2 | -1 |
| 22 Feb. 2015 |
CAR
1 - 0
RAF
39%
23%
38%
|
12 | 14 | 2 | +1 |
| 08 Feb. 2015 |
CAR
2 - 2
ESP
74%
15%
11%
|
13 | 7 | 6 | -1 |
| 01 Feb. 2015 |
ALB
1 - 1
CAR
28%
23%
49%
|
13 | 9 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Carlet
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 2015 |
CAR
3 - 0
CIU
68%
18%
14%
|
19 | 14 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
CAR
3 - 1
GUA
59%
20%
21%
|
18 | 15 | 3 | +1 |
| 01 Mar. 2015 |
SUE
0 - 4
CAR
9%
16%
75%
|
18 | 7 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2015 |
CAR
1 - 0
LAL
78%
14%
8%
|
18 | 11 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2015 |
RAF
1 - 2
CAR
36%
23%
41%
|
18 | 16 | 2 | 0 |