Ud Calzadilla Barros vs UC La Estrella analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
14.2%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
1.9%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.3%
1-0
4.3%
2-1
4%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.8%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.4%
66.4%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
23.9%
0-2
11.2%
1-3
7%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
20.1%
0-3
8%
1-4
3.8%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
12.6%
0-4
4.3%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
6.2%
0-5
1.8%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.5%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ud Calzadilla Barros
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Dec. 2012 |
UDC
1 - 1
OLI
15%
21%
64%
|
12 | 23 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2012 |
EMD
2 - 0
UDC
82%
12%
6%
|
13 | 24 | 11 | -1 |
| 02 Dec. 2012 |
UDF
1 - 1
UDC
62%
20%
18%
|
12 | 15 | 3 | +1 |
| 25 Nov. 2012 |
UDC
2 - 0
CDB
16%
21%
63%
|
11 | 18 | 7 | +1 |
| 18 Nov. 2012 |
CAM
3 - 0
UDC
67%
18%
15%
|
12 | 14 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
UC La Estrella
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Dec. 2012 |
UDF
2 - 2
UCL
15%
20%
65%
|
25 | 14 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2012 |
UCL
2 - 0
CDB
68%
18%
13%
|
25 | 17 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2012 |
CAM
1 - 2
UCL
18%
20%
62%
|
25 | 14 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2012 |
UCL
3 - 0
SPR
76%
15%
9%
|
24 | 14 | 10 | +1 |
| 18 Nov. 2012 |
CDB
0 - 1
UCL
19%
21%
60%
|
24 | 16 | 8 | 0 |