Cacabelense vs Toresana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.3%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.6%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.4%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.5%
20.1%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.3%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cacabelense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 1982 |
AST
3 - 1
CAC
54%
23%
23%
|
27 | 26 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 1982 |
CAC
1 - 1
MED
60%
22%
18%
|
27 | 27 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 1982 |
VAL
4 - 0
CAC
76%
15%
9%
|
28 | 37 | 9 | -1 |
| 05 Sep. 1982 |
CAC
3 - 0
LAG
66%
20%
14%
|
27 | 25 | 2 | +1 |
| 23 May. 1982 |
CAC
2 - 0
LAG
63%
21%
15%
|
27 | 26 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Toresana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 1982 |
TOR
3 - 3
CDF
72%
18%
10%
|
29 | 22 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 1982 |
ZAM
3 - 0
TOR
84%
12%
5%
|
29 | 56 | 27 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 1982 |
CFP
7 - 1
TOR
76%
15%
9%
|
30 | 38 | 8 | -1 |
| 12 Sep. 1982 |
TOR
2 - 0
TOR
61%
22%
17%
|
29 | 26 | 3 | +1 |
| 08 Sep. 1982 |
TOR
0 - 1
CFP
32%
23%
46%
|
30 | 39 | 9 | -1 |