Cacabelense vs Sporting Celanova analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
69.4%
Win probability
2.27
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.1%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.6%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.7%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
18.1%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.1%
12.6%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.8%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+55%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cacabelense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 1979 |
NAV
4 - 0
CAC
50%
28%
22%
|
34 | 34 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 1979 |
CAC
3 - 2
ARO
58%
24%
17%
|
33 | 37 | 4 | +1 |
| 01 Apr. 1979 |
DEP
1 - 1
CAC
58%
24%
18%
|
33 | 32 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 1979 |
CAC
1 - 1
RAC
57%
25%
18%
|
33 | 38 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 1979 |
CAY
7 - 3
CAC
44%
26%
31%
|
35 | 29 | 6 | -2 |
Matches
Sporting Celanova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 1979 |
SPO
1 - 0
GIN
49%
25%
26%
|
29 | 34 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 1979 |
SPB
3 - 1
SPO
80%
14%
6%
|
30 | 42 | 12 | -1 |
| 01 Apr. 1979 |
SPO
2 - 3
ALO
41%
26%
34%
|
30 | 38 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 1979 |
CEL
1 - 1
SPO
72%
18%
10%
|
30 | 38 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 1979 |
SPO
2 - 1
GRA
30%
27%
44%
|
28 | 41 | 13 | +2 |