Cacabelense vs Cayón analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.4%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.5%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.4%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.4%
25.2%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+55%
+27%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cacabelense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 1978 |
SAN
4 - 0
CAC
68%
19%
12%
|
30 | 38 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 1978 |
CAC
1 - 0
LEN
63%
21%
17%
|
29 | 28 | 1 | +1 |
| 08 Oct. 1978 |
CAM
4 - 2
CAC
69%
18%
13%
|
30 | 35 | 5 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 1978 |
GIN
2 - 0
CAC
73%
15%
12%
|
31 | 36 | 5 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 1978 |
CAC
1 - 0
SPB
45%
22%
33%
|
29 | 38 | 9 | +2 |
Matches
Cayón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 1978 |
CAY
2 - 1
GIN
50%
25%
25%
|
32 | 38 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 1978 |
SPB
2 - 0
CAY
69%
19%
12%
|
33 | 38 | 5 | -1 |
| 08 Oct. 1978 |
CAY
2 - 1
ALO
61%
21%
18%
|
33 | 31 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 1978 |
CEL
1 - 1
CAY
63%
20%
18%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 1978 |
CAY
4 - 1
GRA
37%
24%
39%
|
28 | 40 | 12 | +4 |