Cacabelense vs Arosa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.3%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.1%
1-0
14.6%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.2%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
24.4%
17.4%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
-19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cacabelense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 1979 |
DEP
1 - 1
CAC
58%
24%
18%
|
33 | 32 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 1979 |
CAC
1 - 1
RAC
57%
25%
18%
|
33 | 38 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 1979 |
CAY
7 - 3
CAC
44%
26%
31%
|
35 | 29 | 6 | -2 |
| 11 Mar. 1979 |
CAC
3 - 0
SAN
62%
22%
16%
|
33 | 33 | 0 | +2 |
| 04 Mar. 1979 |
LEN
1 - 0
CAC
59%
24%
17%
|
34 | 33 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Arosa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 1979 |
ARO
2 - 1
GIN
63%
23%
14%
|
36 | 35 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 1979 |
SPB
3 - 2
ARO
66%
23%
12%
|
37 | 41 | 4 | -1 |
| 18 Mar. 1979 |
ARO
3 - 1
ALO
54%
26%
20%
|
35 | 38 | 3 | +2 |
| 11 Mar. 1979 |
CEL
2 - 0
ARO
57%
26%
17%
|
36 | 36 | 0 | -1 |
| 04 Mar. 1979 |
ARO
0 - 1
GRA
56%
25%
19%
|
37 | 39 | 2 | -1 |