Ud Bornense vs Castellar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
5%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
12.2%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.2%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
22.1%
37%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
18.1%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
11%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
5.1%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ud Bornense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 2020 |
LIN
0 - 0
UDB
69%
17%
15%
|
11 | 14 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2020 |
UDB
5 - 0
NOV
59%
20%
22%
|
10 | 7 | 3 | +1 |
| 21 Dec. 2019 |
UDB
4 - 0
ALM
49%
23%
28%
|
8 | 7 | 1 | +2 |
| 14 Dec. 2019 |
AFI
3 - 2
UDB
52%
21%
27%
|
9 | 9 | 0 | -1 |
| 01 Dec. 2019 |
UDB
2 - 0
FAC
30%
23%
47%
|
7 | 10 | 3 | +2 |
Matches
Castellar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 2020 |
CAS
1 - 1
FED
32%
21%
46%
|
12 | 14 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2020 |
BEN
1 - 0
CAS
39%
22%
39%
|
13 | 12 | 1 | -1 |
| 22 Dec. 2019 |
ALC
1 - 2
CAS
29%
22%
50%
|
12 | 9 | 3 | +1 |
| 14 Dec. 2019 |
CAS
2 - 1
TIL
71%
16%
13%
|
12 | 9 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2019 |
LIN
2 - 3
CAS
80%
13%
8%
|
11 | 16 | 5 | +1 |