Benasal vs Cinctorra analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
24.7%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.4%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
6.8%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
14.5%
22%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22%
53.4%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
4%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.4%
0-2
7.6%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
16.2%
0-3
5%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.9%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.9%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-43%
+75%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Benasal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2014 |
TRA
5 - 2
BEN
82%
12%
6%
|
11 | 22 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2014 |
BEN
0 - 3
CAT
33%
23%
44%
|
12 | 15 | 3 | -1 |
| 12 Oct. 2014 |
ORP
4 - 0
BEN
74%
15%
10%
|
12 | 19 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2014 |
BEN
4 - 2
MAT
56%
21%
23%
|
11 | 10 | 1 | +1 |
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
MOR
3 - 2
BEN
56%
21%
23%
|
12 | 13 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Cinctorra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2014 |
CIN
4 - 0
IBA
21%
21%
58%
|
13 | 20 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2014 |
SAN
2 - 2
CIN
72%
17%
11%
|
13 | 19 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2014 |
CIN
3 - 1
POB
25%
22%
53%
|
11 | 16 | 5 | +2 |
| 05 Oct. 2014 |
BOR
0 - 3
CIN
64%
19%
17%
|
9 | 12 | 3 | +2 |
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
CIN
2 - 3
CAB
20%
21%
58%
|
9 | 15 | 6 | 0 |