UD Bellavista vs Calavera analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
81.9%
Win probability
2.76
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
2.1%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.7%
5-0
4.6%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
6%
4-0
8.3%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.5%
3-0
12%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18%
2-0
13%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.2%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.1%
12.2%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
5.8%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
12.2%
5.8%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.5%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+48%
+28%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UD Bellavista
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
LCF
1 - 2
UDB
19%
22%
59%
|
17 | 11 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
UDB
3 - 1
OLI
60%
21%
19%
|
16 | 14 | 2 | +1 |
| 19 Feb. 2023 |
TOM
1 - 1
UDB
66%
17%
17%
|
16 | 17 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
UDB
1 - 2
CDD
47%
24%
29%
|
17 | 17 | 0 | -1 |
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
LOR
1 - 3
UDB
30%
24%
46%
|
16 | 13 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Calavera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
CAL
1 - 1
CDA
44%
22%
35%
|
9 | 10 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2023 |
CAL
4 - 2
LCF
20%
21%
59%
|
7 | 13 | 6 | +2 |
| 19 Feb. 2023 |
OLI
4 - 2
CAL
77%
15%
9%
|
7 | 13 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
CAL
0 - 3
TOM
4%
9%
87%
|
7 | 17 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
CDD
6 - 1
CAL
83%
12%
5%
|
7 | 17 | 10 | 0 |