UD Atios vs Racing Castrelos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
76.4%
Win probability
2.49
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.3%
4-0
6.6%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.2%
3-0
10.5%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.1%
2-0
12.7%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.2%
15.1%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.1%
8.5%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.3%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+35%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UD Atios
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2023 |
POR
4 - 1
UDA
35%
24%
41%
|
21 | 18 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2023 |
MOR
0 - 5
UDA
28%
24%
48%
|
20 | 16 | 4 | +1 |
| 15 Jan. 2023 |
UDA
1 - 0
PON
73%
17%
10%
|
20 | 14 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2023 |
ARN
0 - 1
UDA
40%
24%
36%
|
20 | 18 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2022 |
UDA
1 - 3
BAR
45%
25%
31%
|
20 | 21 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Racing Castrelos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2023 |
CAS
1 - 3
BEL
24%
22%
54%
|
12 | 17 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2023 |
CAS
1 - 2
ANT
26%
22%
53%
|
13 | 16 | 3 | -1 |
| 15 Jan. 2023 |
CEL
3 - 0
CAS
69%
17%
14%
|
14 | 18 | 4 | -1 |
| 08 Jan. 2023 |
CAS
1 - 2
CUL
50%
22%
29%
|
14 | 14 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2022 |
RIB
1 - 0
CAS
65%
19%
16%
|
15 | 20 | 5 | -1 |