Atalaya vs Guayarmina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
87.1%
Win probability
3.28
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.7%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.8%
7-0
1.6%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
<0%
+7
2.1%
6-0
3.5%
7-1
1%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
4.6%
5-0
6.4%
6-1
2.2%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
8.9%
4-0
9.7%
5-1
4%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
14.4%
3-0
11.8%
4-1
6.1%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
19.3%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.4%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.1%
8.8%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
4.1%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
8.8%
4%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
0-1
1.3%
1-2
1.3%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
3.1%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
0.7%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+28%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atalaya
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2023 |
LNI
1 - 2
ATA
47%
22%
32%
|
19 | 18 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2023 |
IPI
1 - 2
ATA
23%
20%
56%
|
18 | 12 | 6 | +1 |
| 19 May. 2023 |
ATA
3 - 1
ARU
76%
14%
10%
|
18 | 13 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2023 |
UDS
0 - 3
ATA
43%
21%
36%
|
17 | 16 | 1 | +1 |
| 05 May. 2023 |
ATA
1 - 1
LNI
39%
22%
39%
|
17 | 19 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Guayarmina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2023 |
GYM
2 - 3
IPI
27%
20%
53%
|
9 | 12 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2023 |
UDL
12 - 0
GYM
92%
6%
2%
|
10 | 33 | 23 | -1 |
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
GYM
2 - 2
STI
10%
16%
74%
|
9 | 17 | 8 | +1 |
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
TAH
8 - 0
GYM
85%
10%
5%
|
10 | 17 | 7 | -1 |
| 31 Mar. 2023 |
GYM
0 - 4
TER
9%
15%
76%
|
10 | 18 | 8 | 0 |