UD Aspense vs Novelda B analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.2%
Win probability
2.41
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.8%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.3%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.9%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.2%
1-0
6%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.5%
18.7%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
6%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
18.7%
19.2%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
5%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
11.5%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UD Aspense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2019 |
COC
1 - 2
UDA
55%
20%
25%
|
12 | 13 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2019 |
UDA
1 - 3
ALT
78%
13%
9%
|
14 | 7 | 7 | -2 |
| 13 Oct. 2019 |
PSP
4 - 1
UDA
57%
20%
24%
|
15 | 16 | 1 | -1 |
| 09 Oct. 2019 |
ASP
2 - 0
UDA
56%
19%
25%
|
16 | 17 | 1 | -1 |
| 06 Oct. 2019 |
UDA
4 - 3
CDI
86%
9%
5%
|
16 | 7 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Novelda B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2019 |
NOV
5 - 1
CAE
60%
20%
21%
|
10 | 7 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2019 |
NOV
1 - 2
COC
35%
23%
43%
|
11 | 12 | 1 | -1 |
| 13 Oct. 2019 |
NOV
2 - 8
ELD
70%
17%
13%
|
14 | 7 | 7 | -3 |
| 09 Oct. 2019 |
ALT
2 - 1
NOV
19%
21%
61%
|
15 | 7 | 8 | -1 |
| 02 Oct. 2019 |
NOV
1 - 3
CFE
61%
20%
19%
|
17 | 13 | 4 | -2 |