UD Aspense vs Formentera analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
78.8%
Win probability
2.93
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.1%
6-0
1.9%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.8%
5-0
4%
6-1
1.7%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
6%
4-0
6.8%
5-1
3.5%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
11.1%
3-0
9.3%
4-1
6%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
17%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.3%
12.9%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
5.7%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
12.9%
8.3%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
5.8%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UD Aspense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2017 |
ELS
2 - 5
UDA
45%
22%
33%
|
11 | 11 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2017 |
UDA
3 - 0
DNA
32%
22%
46%
|
10 | 13 | 3 | +1 |
| 05 Mar. 2017 |
UDA
2 - 5
CIU
23%
19%
58%
|
11 | 14 | 3 | -1 |
| 25 Feb. 2017 |
SPO
1 - 1
UDA
64%
19%
17%
|
11 | 14 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2017 |
UDA
0 - 4
RAV
31%
22%
47%
|
12 | 15 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Formentera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2017 |
FOR
0 - 4
DNA
28%
22%
51%
|
7 | 11 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2017 |
CIU
3 - 0
FOR
85%
10%
5%
|
9 | 16 | 7 | -2 |
| 12 Mar. 2017 |
FOR
2 - 4
RAV
9%
15%
75%
|
9 | 17 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2017 |
FOR
1 - 1
ALG
34%
22%
44%
|
9 | 10 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2017 |
ALT
1 - 2
FOR
55%
20%
26%
|
8 | 7 | 1 | +1 |