UD Aspense vs S. Fulgencio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.9%
Win probability
2.27
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.6%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.1%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.8%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.9%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19.6%
20.5%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.2%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UD Aspense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 2020 |
MON
4 - 0
UDA
41%
21%
38%
|
17 | 15 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2020 |
ALI
2 - 3
UDA
56%
20%
24%
|
17 | 18 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Feb. 2020 |
NOV
1 - 4
UDA
10%
17%
74%
|
16 | 8 | 8 | +1 |
| 22 Feb. 2020 |
UDA
0 - 2
COC
61%
19%
20%
|
18 | 15 | 3 | -2 |
| 16 Feb. 2020 |
ALT
2 - 3
UDA
21%
21%
58%
|
18 | 12 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
S. Fulgencio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2020 |
SPO
0 - 2
MON
16%
19%
65%
|
14 | 21 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2020 |
RAV
4 - 0
SPO
76%
15%
9%
|
14 | 22 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2020 |
SPO
0 - 0
HON
38%
23%
39%
|
14 | 16 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2020 |
SPO
4 - 3
CAS
21%
19%
60%
|
13 | 17 | 4 | +1 |
| 22 Feb. 2020 |
CDC
0 - 0
SPO
67%
18%
16%
|
13 | 17 | 4 | 0 |