UD Arroyofresno vs Pegaso Tres Cantos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.1%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
11%
1-0
5%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.2%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
22.1%
40.8%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
4.3%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
19.1%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
5%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
12.2%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
6%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-35%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UD Arroyofresno
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2023 |
LTV
2 - 8
AYF
26%
21%
54%
|
12 | 7 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2023 |
AYF
3 - 1
BBA
68%
17%
15%
|
12 | 8 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2023 |
EPB
1 - 1
AYF
58%
19%
23%
|
12 | 12 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2023 |
AYF
2 - 1
CAR
35%
21%
45%
|
11 | 11 | 0 | +1 |
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
MOR
1 - 1
AYF
78%
13%
9%
|
10 | 16 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Pegaso Tres Cantos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 2023 |
FOM
0 - 4
PBT
36%
22%
42%
|
14 | 12 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2023 |
PBT
7 - 1
ACA
74%
14%
12%
|
14 | 9 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2023 |
PBT
3 - 1
PER
78%
13%
9%
|
13 | 7 | 6 | +1 |
| 12 Mar. 2023 |
PBT
5 - 0
LTV
66%
17%
17%
|
12 | 9 | 3 | +1 |
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
BBA
3 - 4
PBT
44%
21%
35%
|
11 | 10 | 1 | +1 |