UD Arenal vs UE Alcudia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.2%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.3%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.4%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.3%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.7%
16.1%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.9%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UD Arenal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2003 |
BNS
0 - 2
UDA
40%
27%
33%
|
25 | 23 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2003 |
UDA
1 - 2
CFP
47%
26%
27%
|
26 | 28 | 2 | -1 |
| 14 Sep. 2003 |
PBL
3 - 1
UDA
58%
24%
18%
|
26 | 31 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2003 |
CDC
0 - 0
UDA
36%
27%
37%
|
26 | 24 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2003 |
UDA
4 - 2
FER
24%
24%
52%
|
24 | 33 | 9 | +2 |
Matches
UE Alcudia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2003 |
ALC
2 - 1
CDC
29%
26%
44%
|
20 | 26 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2003 |
FER
1 - 1
ALC
79%
14%
7%
|
20 | 31 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2003 |
ALC
1 - 0
ALA
24%
26%
51%
|
18 | 27 | 9 | +2 |
| 07 Sep. 2003 |
IBI
4 - 1
ALC
76%
17%
8%
|
19 | 32 | 13 | -1 |
| 31 Aug. 2003 |
ALC
1 - 1
ATB
15%
23%
62%
|
18 | 33 | 15 | +1 |