UD Aracena vs Valverde C.F. analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
20.5%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.6%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.3%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.1%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22.2%
57.3%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.8%
0-2
9.5%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17.6%
0-3
6%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.6%
0-4
2.9%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.2%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UD Aracena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 2013 |
CDZ
1 - 0
UDA
61%
20%
19%
|
13 | 16 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2013 |
UDA
3 - 0
NER
54%
22%
24%
|
12 | 11 | 1 | +1 |
| 27 Jan. 2013 |
CDH
1 - 1
UDA
31%
24%
46%
|
12 | 10 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2013 |
ARO
4 - 0
UDA
27%
22%
51%
|
14 | 9 | 5 | -2 |
| 23 Dec. 2012 |
CDC
1 - 1
UDA
66%
19%
16%
|
14 | 18 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Valverde C.F.
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 2013 |
VAL
2 - 0
REP
47%
23%
30%
|
18 | 18 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2013 |
BEA
1 - 1
VAL
19%
22%
60%
|
19 | 12 | 7 | -1 |
| 27 Jan. 2013 |
VAL
2 - 1
CDR
77%
15%
9%
|
19 | 12 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2013 |
VAL
1 - 0
CDZ
59%
21%
21%
|
18 | 16 | 2 | +1 |
| 13 Jan. 2013 |
NER
1 - 2
VAL
25%
23%
53%
|
18 | 13 | 5 | 0 |