UD Aracena vs C.D. Zarza analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
27.2%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.7%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.6%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.9%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
49.3%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.4%
0-2
7.6%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
15%
0-3
4.5%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.5%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UD Aracena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2012 |
NER
0 - 3
UDA
35%
23%
41%
|
11 | 9 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2012 |
UDA
0 - 0
CDH
61%
20%
19%
|
11 | 9 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2012 |
UDA
5 - 1
ARO
35%
24%
42%
|
9 | 11 | 2 | +2 |
| 13 May. 2012 |
UDA
2 - 2
CDE
21%
21%
57%
|
9 | 13 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2012 |
OLO
3 - 1
UDA
80%
13%
7%
|
9 | 16 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
C.D. Zarza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2012 |
CDZ
1 - 1
REP
45%
23%
32%
|
16 | 17 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2012 |
BEA
2 - 2
CDZ
37%
24%
39%
|
16 | 14 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2012 |
CDZ
3 - 2
VAL
29%
24%
48%
|
14 | 19 | 5 | +2 |
| 30 Sep. 2012 |
CDR
1 - 2
CDZ
28%
24%
49%
|
13 | 9 | 4 | +1 |