U.D. Alpera vs UD Tobarra analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
19.4%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.5%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5%
1-0
5%
2-1
5.2%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.4%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.4%
59.2%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.6%
0-2
9.5%
1-3
6.6%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.1%
0-3
6.3%
1-4
3.3%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.3%
0-4
3.1%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.7%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
U.D. Alpera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan. 2016 |
PED
4 - 2
ALP
72%
16%
12%
|
13 | 18 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2016 |
ALP
1 - 4
UDC
21%
23%
56%
|
13 | 23 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2016 |
CAU
3 - 1
ALP
56%
21%
23%
|
14 | 16 | 2 | -1 |
| 03 Jan. 2016 |
CDB
2 - 2
ALP
63%
19%
18%
|
14 | 16 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2015 |
ALP
3 - 6
MOT
58%
20%
22%
|
16 | 14 | 2 | -2 |
Matches
UD Tobarra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan. 2016 |
UDT
1 - 0
CDM
65%
20%
16%
|
21 | 17 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2016 |
LSO
1 - 1
UDT
71%
16%
13%
|
21 | 26 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2016 |
UDT
4 - 0
CER
67%
19%
14%
|
21 | 16 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2015 |
UDT
3 - 1
APU
57%
22%
21%
|
20 | 18 | 2 | +1 |
| 20 Dec. 2015 |
HBA
0 - 1
UDT
32%
24%
44%
|
20 | 16 | 4 | 0 |