U.D. Alpera vs U.B. Conquense B analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
36.8%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
10.9%
1-0
3.9%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.4%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
7.3%
3-3
3%
4-4
0.7%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
21.1%
42.2%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
4.9%
3-4
1.5%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
18.7%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
2.4%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
-2
12.5%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
6.6%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0.1%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-60%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
U.D. Alpera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2023 |
MUN
0 - 1
ALP
45%
22%
33%
|
11 | 11 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
ALP
4 - 4
DBA
36%
22%
42%
|
11 | 14 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
BON
3 - 3
ALP
58%
20%
22%
|
11 | 12 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
ALP
1 - 3
TAR
52%
22%
27%
|
12 | 13 | 1 | -1 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
ATL
0 - 1
ALP
52%
22%
26%
|
11 | 12 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
U.B. Conquense B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
CON
3 - 1
HIG
70%
16%
14%
|
15 | 11 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
OMA
3 - 3
CON
29%
22%
49%
|
15 | 12 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
CON
1 - 1
AJA
74%
15%
11%
|
15 | 11 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
CMG
1 - 1
CON
67%
17%
17%
|
15 | 17 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
CON
1 - 2
MAN
77%
14%
10%
|
16 | 12 | 4 | -1 |