U.D. Alpera vs U.B. Conquense B analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
31.6%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.6%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.1%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.4%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
44.8%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.2%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.5%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.5%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-46%
-69%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
U.D. Alpera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 2015 |
CDP
3 - 3
ALP
29%
23%
48%
|
15 | 12 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2015 |
ALP
1 - 2
CDM
49%
23%
29%
|
16 | 16 | 0 | -1 |
| 01 Feb. 2015 |
CAU
1 - 0
ALP
17%
20%
63%
|
17 | 10 | 7 | -1 |
| 24 Jan. 2015 |
ALP
2 - 1
UDC
34%
24%
42%
|
16 | 20 | 4 | +1 |
| 17 Jan. 2015 |
ALM
1 - 1
ALP
27%
22%
51%
|
17 | 12 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
U.B. Conquense B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 2015 |
CON
3 - 2
QUI
41%
23%
37%
|
18 | 19 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2015 |
CON
2 - 2
ADS
25%
21%
54%
|
18 | 23 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2015 |
UDT
1 - 2
CON
53%
22%
25%
|
17 | 19 | 2 | +1 |
| 17 Jan. 2015 |
CON
2 - 0
CER
72%
16%
12%
|
17 | 12 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2015 |
CDM
0 - 0
CON
18%
21%
61%
|
17 | 11 | 6 | 0 |