U.D. Alpera vs CD Manchego Provencio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.8%
Win probability
2.38
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.1%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.8%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.5%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.3%
2-0
8%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.8%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.9%
18.6%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
8%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
18.6%
17.6%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10.9%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
U.D. Alpera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
QUI
3 - 2
ALP
28%
24%
48%
|
17 | 14 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
ALP
2 - 0
CAS
83%
11%
6%
|
16 | 11 | 5 | +1 |
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
CON
0 - 1
ALP
66%
18%
17%
|
16 | 19 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2024 |
ALP
3 - 0
MUN
57%
20%
23%
|
14 | 14 | 0 | +2 |
| 04 Feb. 2024 |
DBA
3 - 0
ALP
47%
22%
31%
|
16 | 14 | 2 | -2 |
Matches
CD Manchego Provencio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
MAN
0 - 0
HIG
61%
21%
19%
|
15 | 11 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2024 |
OMA
1 - 1
MAN
22%
23%
55%
|
16 | 11 | 5 | -1 |
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
MAN
2 - 1
AJA
45%
24%
30%
|
15 | 14 | 1 | +1 |
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
CMG
3 - 0
MAN
61%
20%
20%
|
16 | 17 | 1 | -1 |
| 04 Feb. 2024 |
CVA
1 - 0
MAN
68%
18%
14%
|
16 | 19 | 3 | 0 |