U.D. Alpera vs CD Manchego Provencio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
26.6%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.7%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.4%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
15.4%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.6%
50.8%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.2%
0-2
7.4%
1-3
6%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
15.4%
0-3
4.6%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.1%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.4%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-21%
-25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
U.D. Alpera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 2023 |
MUN
3 - 0
ALP
37%
23%
40%
|
12 | 10 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2023 |
DBA
4 - 0
ALP
32%
23%
45%
|
14 | 11 | 3 | -2 |
| 17 Dec. 2022 |
ALP
2 - 2
OMA
49%
22%
29%
|
14 | 15 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2022 |
ALP
2 - 0
AJA
81%
12%
7%
|
14 | 8 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2022 |
LME
0 - 0
ALP
18%
21%
61%
|
14 | 10 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
CD Manchego Provencio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 2023 |
MAN
2 - 2
CAU
32%
23%
46%
|
16 | 17 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2023 |
MAN
2 - 1
CMG
54%
22%
24%
|
15 | 13 | 2 | +1 |
| 17 Dec. 2022 |
SOC
2 - 1
MAN
44%
25%
31%
|
16 | 16 | 0 | -1 |
| 11 Dec. 2022 |
MAN
1 - 0
TAR
71%
18%
12%
|
15 | 11 | 4 | +1 |
| 04 Dec. 2022 |
MAN
7 - 1
CAS
61%
21%
18%
|
14 | 11 | 3 | +1 |