U.D. Alpera vs Cristo Minglanilla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.3%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.1%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.3%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
22.2%
40.5%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
4.3%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
19.1%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
12.1%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
5.9%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
U.D. Alpera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2023 |
MAN
2 - 0
ALP
44%
24%
32%
|
13 | 14 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2023 |
ALP
1 - 1
QUI
35%
22%
43%
|
13 | 17 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
ALP
2 - 1
CON
37%
21%
42%
|
12 | 16 | 4 | +1 |
| 15 Oct. 2023 |
MUN
0 - 1
ALP
45%
22%
33%
|
11 | 11 | 0 | +1 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
ALP
4 - 4
DBA
36%
22%
42%
|
11 | 14 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Cristo Minglanilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2023 |
CMG
2 - 2
HIG
78%
13%
9%
|
16 | 11 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
OMA
1 - 1
CMG
30%
23%
47%
|
16 | 13 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
CMG
1 - 0
AJA
74%
15%
11%
|
15 | 12 | 3 | +1 |
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
CMG
0 - 1
CVA
57%
20%
23%
|
16 | 15 | 1 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 2023 |
MAN
2 - 1
CMG
20%
22%
59%
|
17 | 12 | 5 | -1 |