U.D. Alpera vs C.D.B.F. Cervantes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
18.5%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.4%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.7%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
5%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.9%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.8%
60.7%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.5%
0-2
9.5%
1-3
6.8%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
18.5%
0-3
6.5%
1-4
3.5%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.9%
0-4
3.4%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
5.1%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.9%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
U.D. Alpera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2016 |
APU
4 - 0
ALP
75%
15%
10%
|
11 | 19 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
ALP
1 - 1
HBA
19%
20%
61%
|
11 | 18 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2016 |
CON
2 - 1
ALP
31%
22%
47%
|
12 | 9 | 3 | -1 |
| 07 Feb. 2016 |
ABA
3 - 1
ALP
55%
21%
24%
|
13 | 14 | 1 | -1 |
| 30 Jan. 2016 |
ALP
1 - 1
UDT
19%
21%
59%
|
12 | 22 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
C.D.B.F. Cervantes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
CER
2 - 0
CDM
52%
23%
26%
|
17 | 17 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
LSO
2 - 0
CER
81%
12%
7%
|
18 | 25 | 7 | -1 |
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
CER
1 - 0
HEL
70%
18%
13%
|
17 | 13 | 4 | +1 |
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
CER
4 - 0
APU
35%
24%
41%
|
16 | 18 | 2 | +1 |
| 07 Feb. 2016 |
HBA
3 - 0
CER
42%
24%
35%
|
17 | 15 | 2 | -1 |