U.D. Alpera vs CD Caudetano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
83.3%
Win probability
3.23
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.7%
7-0
1.3%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.7%
6-0
2.7%
7-1
1%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
4%
5-0
5.1%
6-1
2.3%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.8%
4-0
7.8%
5-1
4.2%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
+4
13.1%
3-0
9.7%
4-1
6.5%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.2%
2-0
9%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.3%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.2%
10.5%
Draw
0-0
1.7%
1-1
4.6%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
10.5%
6.1%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
1.4%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
4.4%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
U.D. Alpera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2025 |
AJA
1 - 1
ALP
46%
23%
31%
|
16 | 16 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2025 |
ALP
3 - 3
MAH
54%
21%
25%
|
16 | 16 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2025 |
HIG
0 - 1
ALP
31%
22%
48%
|
16 | 12 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2025 |
ALP
2 - 1
CMG
30%
23%
47%
|
14 | 19 | 5 | +2 |
| 26 Jan. 2025 |
OMA
2 - 1
ALP
61%
20%
19%
|
15 | 19 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
CD Caudetano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 2025 |
CAU
1 - 2
HEL
9%
16%
75%
|
9 | 22 | 13 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2025 |
MUN
2 - 2
CAU
66%
18%
16%
|
9 | 13 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2025 |
CAU
0 - 1
ATL
16%
20%
64%
|
9 | 17 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2025 |
QUI
1 - 0
CAU
77%
15%
8%
|
9 | 19 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2025 |
CAU
1 - 2
DBA
21%
21%
58%
|
9 | 15 | 6 | 0 |