Almería U19 B vs Pavia U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
75.7%
Win probability
2.78
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.2%
5-0
3.4%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.1%
4-0
6.1%
5-1
3.2%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
5.7%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.1%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.7%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.3%
14.3%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
6.3%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
14.3%
10%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
3%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
6.8%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
47
3º
10º
6º
31
8º
13º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
72 | 72 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
66 | 66 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
57 | 57 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
52 | 52 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
47 | 47 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
47 | 47 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
44 | 44 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
41 | 41 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
40 | 40 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
38 | 38 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
34 | 34 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
32 | 32 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
|
13º
|
31 | 31 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
30 | 30 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
18 | 18 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
16 | 16 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Almería U19 B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
CFR
3 - 2
UDA
39%
23%
38%
|
17 | 16 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
UDA
1 - 1
LAM
44%
22%
34%
|
17 | 18 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
UCD
0 - 2
UDA
27%
21%
53%
|
16 | 13 | 3 | +1 |
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
UDA
3 - 1
CDO
77%
14%
10%
|
16 | 9 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2024 |
GRA
3 - 0
UDA
47%
22%
31%
|
16 | 17 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Pavia U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
PAV
0 - 2
HIS
62%
19%
19%
|
11 | 9 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2024 |
MCF
1 - 0
PAV
83%
11%
7%
|
12 | 22 | 10 | -1 |
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
PAV
1 - 1
CDT
29%
23%
49%
|
11 | 16 | 5 | +1 |
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
ATA
3 - 2
PAV
48%
22%
30%
|
12 | 12 | 0 | -1 |
| 11 Feb. 2024 |
PAV
1 - 3
CDV
22%
22%
56%
|
12 | 20 | 8 | 0 |