UD Aldaia vs San Marcelino analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
80.5%
Win probability
2.54
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.1%
5-0
4%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5%
4-0
7.9%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.3%
3-0
12.4%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
17.4%
2-0
14.7%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.8%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.8%
13.5%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
13.5%
6%
Win probability
0.55
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
4.7%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+137%
+34%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UD Aldaia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2022 |
ALG
1 - 1
ALD
13%
20%
67%
|
20 | 12 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2022 |
ALD
2 - 0
UDC
52%
23%
25%
|
20 | 18 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2022 |
SAN
1 - 2
ALD
20%
23%
58%
|
20 | 14 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2022 |
ALD
3 - 1
CAN
71%
18%
12%
|
19 | 13 | 6 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 2022 |
ALD
1 - 0
ALC
74%
16%
10%
|
19 | 13 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
San Marcelino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
SAN
0 - 1
REQ
22%
24%
54%
|
12 | 17 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2022 |
CAN
3 - 1
SAN
53%
24%
24%
|
13 | 14 | 1 | -1 |
| 07 May. 2022 |
SAN
1 - 2
ALD
20%
23%
58%
|
14 | 20 | 6 | -1 |
| 01 May. 2022 |
ALC
1 - 1
SAN
42%
25%
33%
|
14 | 12 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2022 |
SAN
2 - 1
UDQ
20%
23%
57%
|
13 | 19 | 6 | +1 |