Pref. Valenciana Promotion Play Off Final
Global 0-1
UD Aldaia vs Mutxamel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.4%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.9%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.2%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.9%
24.7%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.5%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+64%
+36%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UD Aldaia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 May. 2025 |
MUT
0 - 0
ALD
39%
24%
38%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2025 |
ALD
2 - 0
VIL
87%
9%
4%
|
31 | 13 | 18 | +1 |
| 18 May. 2025 |
JUP
0 - 2
ALD
28%
22%
50%
|
31 | 22 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2025 |
ALD
6 - 2
TUR
62%
20%
18%
|
30 | 24 | 6 | +1 |
| 03 May. 2025 |
VAL
1 - 3
ALD
27%
23%
50%
|
29 | 24 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Mutxamel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 May. 2025 |
MUT
0 - 0
ALD
39%
24%
38%
|
30 | 32 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2025 |
MUT
7 - 0
MON
59%
21%
20%
|
29 | 23 | 6 | +1 |
| 17 May. 2025 |
BFL
0 - 5
MUT
67%
17%
16%
|
27 | 31 | 4 | +2 |
| 11 May. 2025 |
MUT
3 - 0
BEN
55%
22%
23%
|
26 | 23 | 3 | +1 |
| 04 May. 2025 |
VIJ
1 - 3
MUT
35%
24%
40%
|
25 | 22 | 3 | +1 |