Alar vs Monzon analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
33.2%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.1%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.7%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.5%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
10%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
43.9%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
4%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
20.5%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
13.2%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.5%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2015 |
GUI
1 - 4
ALA
24%
21%
55%
|
12 | 7 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2015 |
ALA
5 - 1
CER
9%
15%
76%
|
10 | 19 | 9 | +2 |
| 11 Oct. 2015 |
TEL
1 - 1
ALA
60%
20%
20%
|
10 | 13 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2015 |
ALA
1 - 0
AMI
39%
23%
38%
|
9 | 11 | 2 | +1 |
| 27 Sep. 2015 |
JUA
1 - 5
ALA
46%
22%
32%
|
7 | 7 | 0 | +2 |
Matches
Monzon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 2015 |
MON
1 - 0
CAS
38%
23%
39%
|
15 | 18 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2015 |
GUI
0 - 3
MON
19%
20%
62%
|
14 | 7 | 7 | +1 |
| 03 Oct. 2015 |
MON
2 - 5
CER
23%
21%
56%
|
15 | 20 | 5 | -1 |
| 27 Sep. 2015 |
TEL
1 - 0
MON
27%
22%
51%
|
16 | 12 | 4 | -1 |
| 19 Sep. 2015 |
MON
1 - 1
AMI
79%
13%
8%
|
17 | 11 | 6 | -1 |