Alar vs Fromista analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
10.9%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.3%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.4%
1-0
3.3%
2-1
3.2%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
7.7%
16.7%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.7%
72.5%
Win probability
2.4
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
22.7%
0-2
11.6%
1-3
7.5%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21.2%
0-3
9.2%
1-4
4.5%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
-3
14.8%
0-4
5.5%
1-5
2.2%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
8.1%
0-5
2.7%
1-6
0.9%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.7%
0-6
1.1%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.4%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.5%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 May. 2015 |
VIL
5 - 3
ALA
44%
22%
34%
|
9 | 7 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2015 |
ALA
1 - 2
FRO
19%
21%
60%
|
10 | 15 | 5 | -1 |
| 26 Apr. 2015 |
MON
0 - 0
ALA
78%
14%
8%
|
9 | 16 | 7 | +1 |
| 19 Apr. 2015 |
VIL
4 - 3
ALA
75%
15%
10%
|
9 | 15 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2015 |
ALA
4 - 1
HER
31%
23%
46%
|
7 | 11 | 4 | +2 |
Matches
Fromista
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 May. 2015 |
FRO
6 - 1
JUA
81%
12%
7%
|
16 | 7 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2015 |
ALA
1 - 2
FRO
19%
21%
60%
|
15 | 10 | 5 | +1 |
| 25 Apr. 2015 |
CAS
2 - 1
FRO
43%
23%
34%
|
16 | 15 | 1 | -1 |
| 23 Apr. 2015 |
CER
5 - 1
FRO
71%
16%
13%
|
17 | 21 | 4 | -1 |
| 18 Apr. 2015 |
FRO
5 - 3
VIL
78%
14%
9%
|
16 | 9 | 7 | +1 |