UD Alajeró vs Lorenzo Negrín analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
71.8%
Win probability
2.77
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.6%
4-0
5%
5-1
3.1%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
9%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
5.6%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.9%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
3.1%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.8%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.4%
15.4%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
6.3%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
15.4%
12.8%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
8.2%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-44%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UD Alajeró
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Dec. 2022 |
MDT
0 - 0
ALA
26%
21%
53%
|
12 | 9 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2022 |
ALA
3 - 1
TRE
71%
16%
13%
|
11 | 7 | 4 | +1 |
| 27 Nov. 2022 |
ALA
5 - 3
YLC
13%
16%
71%
|
10 | 17 | 7 | +1 |
| 20 Nov. 2022 |
VTA
1 - 0
ALA
31%
22%
47%
|
11 | 8 | 3 | -1 |
| 13 Nov. 2022 |
ALA
3 - 2
CHI
62%
19%
20%
|
10 | 7 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Lorenzo Negrín
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Dec. 2022 |
TRE
4 - 0
LNE
45%
21%
34%
|
7 | 7 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2022 |
LNE
0 - 5
YLC
11%
15%
74%
|
7 | 15 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2022 |
LNE
0 - 0
AAL
34%
22%
44%
|
7 | 10 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2022 |
CHI
5 - 1
LNE
50%
21%
29%
|
7 | 8 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2022 |
LNE
1 - 5
STC
21%
19%
60%
|
7 | 12 | 5 | 0 |