UD Cruz Santa vs Ibarra analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
19.8%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.5%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.1%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
5.3%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.7%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
21.7%
58.5%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.7%
0-2
9.6%
1-3
6.5%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17.9%
0-3
6.2%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.1%
0-4
3%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.5%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UD Cruz Santa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2016 |
UDL
1 - 0
CRU
75%
16%
10%
|
20 | 31 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
CRU
1 - 1
CAG
53%
22%
26%
|
20 | 17 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2016 |
CRU
1 - 0
CSU
18%
23%
59%
|
18 | 30 | 12 | +2 |
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
TEL
3 - 0
CRU
82%
12%
6%
|
18 | 33 | 15 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
CRU
1 - 1
UNV
14%
18%
68%
|
18 | 26 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Ibarra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 2016 |
UDI
4 - 2
CSU
53%
24%
23%
|
27 | 28 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
TEL
0 - 2
UDI
65%
20%
15%
|
26 | 33 | 7 | +1 |
| 24 Mar. 2016 |
UDI
2 - 0
UNV
37%
24%
39%
|
25 | 28 | 3 | +1 |
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
COT
3 - 0
UDI
53%
24%
24%
|
25 | 28 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2016 |
UDI
1 - 2
LPA
11%
18%
71%
|
26 | 49 | 23 | -1 |