UD Cruz Santa vs At. Granadilla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.6%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.7%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.9%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.1%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.9%
25.5%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.8%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UD Cruz Santa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2016 |
CRU
1 - 0
CSU
18%
23%
59%
|
18 | 30 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
TEL
3 - 0
CRU
82%
12%
6%
|
18 | 33 | 15 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
CRU
1 - 1
UNV
14%
18%
68%
|
18 | 26 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
COT
2 - 1
CRU
77%
15%
9%
|
18 | 29 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
CRU
1 - 3
LPA
7%
16%
78%
|
19 | 50 | 31 | -1 |
Matches
At. Granadilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2016 |
CAG
0 - 6
VER
17%
21%
62%
|
18 | 26 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2016 |
CSU
3 - 0
CAG
71%
18%
11%
|
18 | 29 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
CAG
1 - 1
ARU
24%
25%
52%
|
18 | 24 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
TEL
3 - 0
CAG
80%
13%
6%
|
19 | 34 | 15 | -1 |
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
CAG
1 - 1
UDS
21%
22%
57%
|
18 | 28 | 10 | +1 |