UCV vs Lara FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.4%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.3%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.7%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.2%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.8%
29.9%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.4%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UCV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 2009 |
TUC
1 - 1
UCV
70%
19%
12%
|
45 | 54 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2009 |
UCV
3 - 0
ANG
27%
24%
49%
|
44 | 54 | 10 | +1 |
| 30 Aug. 2009 |
ZAM
2 - 0
UCV
51%
24%
26%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | -1 |
| 22 Aug. 2009 |
UCV
2 - 1
CES
53%
23%
23%
|
46 | 45 | 1 | -1 |
| 16 May. 2009 |
UCV
1 - 1
YAR
39%
25%
36%
|
46 | 51 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Lara FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2009 |
LAR
2 - 3
UAS
49%
24%
27%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2009 |
LAR
2 - 0
TUC
36%
26%
38%
|
49 | 56 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2009 |
ANG
0 - 1
LAR
64%
21%
15%
|
48 | 56 | 8 | +1 |
| 23 Aug. 2009 |
LAR
0 - 0
ZAM
60%
21%
19%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | -1 |
| 17 May. 2009 |
LAR
1 - 3
DEP
35%
26%
39%
|
51 | 59 | 8 | -2 |