UCV vs Falcon analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.6%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.3%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.1%
22.3%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
13.8%
0-2
3%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UCV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 2017 |
ATL
1 - 1
UCV
51%
24%
25%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2017 |
UCV
1 - 1
ESC
53%
24%
23%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2017 |
LAL
2 - 2
UCV
48%
25%
27%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2017 |
FAL
2 - 1
UCV
37%
27%
36%
|
53 | 49 | 4 | -1 |
| 27 Oct. 2017 |
UCV
2 - 2
LLA
57%
23%
20%
|
53 | 48 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Falcon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 2017 |
LLA
4 - 0
FAL
47%
24%
29%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2017 |
FAL
1 - 1
ATL
38%
25%
37%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2017 |
ESC
2 - 1
FAL
35%
26%
39%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | -1 |
| 04 Nov. 2017 |
FAL
2 - 1
UCV
37%
27%
36%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | +1 |
| 28 Oct. 2017 |
LAL
1 - 1
FAL
55%
23%
22%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | 0 |