UCV vs Falcon analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.1%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.9%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.9%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
31.5%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.2%
0-2
5%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UCV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2017 |
YAR
1 - 1
UCV
43%
25%
32%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2017 |
UCV
2 - 0
MIR
64%
21%
15%
|
50 | 45 | 5 | +1 |
| 03 Sep. 2017 |
YAR
2 - 1
UCV
38%
26%
36%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | -1 |
| 30 Aug. 2017 |
UCV
3 - 1
YAR
51%
24%
25%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | +1 |
| 25 Aug. 2017 |
UCV
1 - 1
CAR
50%
25%
26%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Falcon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2017 |
FAL
4 - 1
YAR
48%
25%
27%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2017 |
CAR
1 - 2
FAL
44%
25%
32%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | +1 |
| 03 Sep. 2017 |
FAL
5 - 1
YAR
33%
25%
42%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | +1 |
| 30 Aug. 2017 |
YAR
1 - 1
FAL
55%
22%
23%
|
47 | 51 | 4 | +1 |
| 26 Aug. 2017 |
FAL
0 - 1
GVA
39%
26%
35%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | -1 |