UCV vs Falcon analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.1%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.4%
2-0
9%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.2%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.3%
21.6%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.5%
0-2
3%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UCV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 2015 |
ARR
0 - 3
UCV
27%
24%
49%
|
52 | 45 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2015 |
UCV
2 - 0
GVA
66%
19%
15%
|
52 | 47 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2015 |
UCV
3 - 1
APC
23%
26%
51%
|
50 | 66 | 16 | +2 |
| 23 Aug. 2015 |
YAR
1 - 1
UCV
65%
20%
15%
|
50 | 59 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2015 |
FAL
3 - 4
UCV
47%
24%
28%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Falcon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2015 |
FAL
2 - 2
APC
20%
26%
54%
|
50 | 65 | 15 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2015 |
YAR
1 - 0
FAL
65%
20%
15%
|
51 | 59 | 8 | -1 |
| 02 Sep. 2015 |
FAL
0 - 0
ZAM
13%
19%
68%
|
50 | 69 | 19 | +1 |
| 29 Aug. 2015 |
GVA
3 - 3
FAL
37%
26%
37%
|
51 | 46 | 5 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 2015 |
ZAM
2 - 1
FAL
84%
11%
5%
|
51 | 69 | 18 | 0 |