UCV vs SC Guaraní analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
31.1%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.1%
2-0
5%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.7%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.1%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
43.4%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
9%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.1%
0-2
7.4%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.6%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UCV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 May. 2012 |
POR
2 - 0
UCV
68%
20%
12%
|
38 | 51 | 13 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2012 |
UCV
2 - 1
CDS
39%
26%
35%
|
37 | 43 | 6 | +1 |
| 06 May. 2012 |
ANG
3 - 0
UCV
64%
20%
16%
|
38 | 44 | 6 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 2012 |
UCV
4 - 3
LOT
28%
25%
47%
|
36 | 48 | 12 | +2 |
| 22 Apr. 2012 |
GUA
1 - 0
UCV
67%
20%
13%
|
37 | 49 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
SC Guaraní
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 May. 2012 |
SCG
1 - 0
URE
58%
23%
20%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2012 |
ATL
2 - 1
SCG
58%
23%
19%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | -1 |
| 07 May. 2012 |
SCG
2 - 1
LAR
63%
21%
16%
|
48 | 41 | 7 | +1 |
| 29 Apr. 2012 |
SCG
2 - 2
GUA
47%
24%
29%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2012 |
POR
0 - 1
SCG
58%
23%
20%
|
48 | 52 | 4 | 0 |